AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Springfield Thunderbirds — Charlotte Checkers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Charlotte Checkers are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Charlotte Checkers are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Springfield Thunderbirds — No. 26, 9 pts; Charlotte Checkers — No. 8, 16 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Springfield Thunderbirds 3 wins, Charlotte Checkers 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Springfield Thunderbirds — Charlotte Checkers | 2.3–2.9 | |
| Springfield Thunderbirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Springfield Thunderbirds
- Springfield Thunderbirds goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11Hartford Wolf Pack2:4
- 31.10Providence Bruins6:7 OT
- 25.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:1
- 24.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:3
- 18.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:3 OT
- 02.11away · Iowa Wild5:4 OT
- 31.10away · Iowa Wild6:3
- 29.10away · Colorado Eagles0:3
- 28.10away · Colorado Eagles6:3
- 25.10Springfield Thunderbirds1:2
Head to head
- 25.10.2026Charlotte Checkers — Springfield Thunderbirds1:2
- 24.10.2026Charlotte Checkers — Springfield Thunderbirds3:2
- 11.10.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Charlotte Checkers1:2 SO
- 26.04.2026Charlotte Checkers — Springfield Thunderbirds1:2 OT
- 25.04.2026Charlotte Checkers — Springfield Thunderbirds2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Manitoba Moose | 12 | 8 | +15 | 16 | .667 |
| 8 | Charlotte Checkers | 12 | 8 | +6 | 16 | .667 |
| 9 | Colorado Eagles | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 | .636 |
| 25 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 10 | 4 | -14 | 9 | .450 |
| 26 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 10 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .450 |
| 27 | Rockford IceHogs | 10 | 4 | -8 | 8 | .400 |
AHL on the same day
- Hamilton HammersBelleville Senatorspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- Hershey BearsRochester Americanspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Manitoba MooseRockford IceHogspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Texas StarsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
- Colorado EaglesGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Abbotsford CanucksTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- San Diego GullsIowa Wildpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →