AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Manitoba Moose — Rockford IceHogs
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Manitoba Moose are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- Manitoba Moose are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Manitoba Moose — No. 7, 16 pts; Rockford IceHogs — No. 27, 8 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Manitoba Moose 4 wins, Rockford IceHogs 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Manitoba Moose — Rockford IceHogs | 3.1–2.5 | |
| Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Manitoba Moose
- Manitoba Moose goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10away · Rockford IceHogs6:3
- 29.10away · Milwaukee Admirals0:3
- 27.10away · Chicago Wolves3:6
- 25.10away · Iowa Wild2:0
- 24.10away · Iowa Wild4:3
- 02.11Texas Stars4:3
- 31.10Manitoba Moose3:6
- 25.10away · Toronto Marlies3:0
- 24.10away · Toronto Marlies3:2 OT
- 18.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:5
Head to head
- 31.10.2026Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose3:6
- 01.02.2026Manitoba Moose — Rockford IceHogs2:1
- 31.01.2026Manitoba Moose — Rockford IceHogs4:1
- 14.01.2026Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose6:2
- 11.01.2026Rockford IceHogs — Manitoba Moose2:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Milwaukee Admirals | 10 | 7 | +6 | 14 | .700 |
| 7 | Manitoba Moose | 12 | 8 | +15 | 16 | .667 |
| 8 | Charlotte Checkers | 12 | 8 | +6 | 16 | .667 |
| 26 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 10 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .450 |
| 27 | Rockford IceHogs | 10 | 4 | -8 | 8 | .400 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 10 | 4 | -12 | 8 | .400 |
AHL on the same day
- Hamilton HammersBelleville Senatorspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- Hershey BearsRochester Americanspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Springfield ThunderbirdsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Texas StarsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
- Colorado EaglesGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Abbotsford CanucksTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- San Diego GullsIowa Wildpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →