AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Texas Stars — San Jose Barracuda
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
San Jose Barracuda are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 6.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 66%.
Why
- San Jose Barracuda are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.9.
Facts
- League table: Texas Stars — No. 32, 6 pts; San Jose Barracuda — No. 28, 8 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Texas Stars 3 wins, San Jose Barracuda 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Texas Stars — San Jose Barracuda | 2.9–3.4 | |
| Texas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| San Jose Barracuda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 66% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Texas Stars
- Texas Stars goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 02.11away · Rockford IceHogs3:4
- 01.11away · Chicago Wolves3:6
- 25.10Ontario Reign5:2
- 24.10Ontario Reign3:5
- 18.10away · Manitoba Moose3:4 OT
- 02.11Bakersfield Condors3:2 OT
- 29.10Abbotsford Canucks2:5
- 25.10away · San Diego Gulls1:4
- 24.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds5:2
- 17.10Calgary Wranglers5:4
Head to head
- 01.04.2026San Jose Barracuda — Texas Stars1:2
- 26.03.2026San Jose Barracuda — Texas Stars2:3
- 14.12.2025Texas Stars — San Jose Barracuda3:4 OT
- 13.12.2025Texas Stars — San Jose Barracuda2:3
- 14.04.2024San Jose Barracuda — Texas Stars1:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockford IceHogs | 10 | 4 | -8 | 8 | .400 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 10 | 4 | -12 | 8 | .400 |
| 29 | Bakersfield Condors | 9 | 3 | -5 | 7 | .389 |
| 31 | Hamilton Hammers | 12 | 3 | -18 | 8 | .333 |
| 32 | Texas Stars | 10 | 2 | -13 | 6 | .300 |
AHL on the same day
- Hamilton HammersBelleville Senatorspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- Hershey BearsRochester Americanspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Springfield ThunderbirdsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Manitoba MooseRockford IceHogspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Colorado EaglesGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Abbotsford CanucksTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- San Diego GullsIowa Wildpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →