AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Hamilton Hammers — Belleville Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Belleville Senators are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Hamilton Hammers — No. 31, 8 pts; Belleville Senators — No. 20, 12 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hamilton Hammers — Belleville Senators | 2.6–2.8 | |
| Hamilton Hammers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Hamilton Hammers
- Hamilton Hammers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Utica Comets2:3 SO
- 31.10away · Syracuse Crunch0:7
- 30.10Hartford Wolf Pack5:4 OT
- 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:1
- 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:4
- 01.11Toronto Marlies4:1
- 31.10Hartford Wolf Pack1:4
- 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms0:2
- 25.10away · Hershey Bears2:5
- 24.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton7:3
Head to head
- 03.10.2026Belleville Senators — Hamilton Hammers2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 13 | 6 | -4 | 13 | .500 |
| 20 | Belleville Senators | 12 | 5 | -4 | 12 | .500 |
| 21 | Chicago Wolves | 11 | 5 | -12 | 11 | .500 |
| 30 | Iowa Wild | 12 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .375 |
| 31 | Hamilton Hammers | 12 | 3 | -18 | 8 | .333 |
| 32 | Texas Stars | 10 | 2 | -13 | 6 | .300 |
AHL on the same day
- Hershey BearsRochester Americanspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Springfield ThunderbirdsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Manitoba MooseRockford IceHogspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Texas StarsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
- Colorado EaglesGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Abbotsford CanucksTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- San Diego GullsIowa Wildpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →