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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

AKM — Ryazan

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Model prediction for 13 November

AKM42%
Draw in regulation23%
Ryazan34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

AKM are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: AKM — No. 4, 29 pts; Ryazan — No. 16, 22 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: AKM 2 wins, Ryazan 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: AKM — Ryazan2.3–2.1
AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Ryazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)32%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)68%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap AKM
  • AKM goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

AKM

  • 02.11Bars3:0
  • 26.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:5
  • 24.10away · Dinamo St. Petersburg1:2 SO
  • 22.10away · Zvezda Moscow3:4 OT
  • 20.10away · Khimik3:2 SO

Ryazan

  • 03.11Almetyevsk1:2
  • 31.10Bars2:1
  • 24.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:4
  • 22.10away · Dinamo St. Petersburg4:3 OT
  • 20.10away · Zvezda Moscow3:2

Head to head

  • 18.03.2026Ryazan — AKM5:3
  • 15.10.2025AKM — Ryazan0:6
  • 24.02.2025AKM — Ryazan5:4 SO
  • 27.09.2024Ryazan — AKM4:3
  • 14.02.2024AKM — Ryazan5:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, PlayoffsAlmetyevsk19150453–34+1930
4, PlayoffsAKM21125461–48+1329
5, PlayoffsPerm19140556–32+2428
15, PlayoffsTambov18102648–47+122
16, PlayoffsRyazan2294946–52-622
17Olympia221011158–61-321

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • OrskTambovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
  • Magnitka MagnitogorskBuran Voronezhpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • CSK VVSHC Norilskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • AlmetyevskKrasnoyarskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.5
  • KhimikKurganpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • Zvezda MoscowOmskie Kryliapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →