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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Orsk — Tambov

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Model prediction for 13 November

Orsk42%
Draw in regulation23%
Tambov35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Orsk are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Orsk — No. 6, 28 pts; Tambov — No. 15, 22 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Orsk 2 wins, Tambov 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Orsk — Tambov2.4–2.2
Orsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)34%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)66%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Orsk
  • Orsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Orsk

  • 03.11away · Rubin Tyumen4:3 SO
  • 01.11away · Kurgan3:4 OT
  • 30.10away · Omskie Krylia2:3 SO
  • 25.10Dyn. Altay3:4 OT
  • 23.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:1

Tambov

  • 03.11Izhevsk5:1
  • 30.10Olympia4:2
  • 25.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
  • 23.10away · Dizel2:1
  • 15.10away · HC Yugra1:6

Head to head

  • 26.01.2026Orsk — Tambov3:2
  • 23.10.2025Tambov — Orsk4:1
  • 20.01.2025Orsk — Tambov2:3 OT
  • 31.10.2024Tambov — Orsk4:3 SO
  • 04.12.2023Orsk — Tambov6:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, PlayoffsPerm19140556–32+2428
6, PlayoffsOrsk19116253–42+1128
7, PlayoffsMetallurg Novokuznetsk21123646–32+1427
14, PlayoffsKristall Saratov18111647–54-723
15, PlayoffsTambov18102648–47+122
16, PlayoffsRyazan2294946–52-622

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • Magnitka MagnitogorskBuran Voronezhpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • CSK VVSHC Norilskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • AlmetyevskKrasnoyarskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • KhimikKurganpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • Zvezda MoscowOmskie Kryliapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.3
  • AKMRyazanpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →