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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Zvezda Moscow — Omskie Krylia

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Model prediction for 13 November

Zvezda Moscow26%
Draw in regulation23%
Omskie Krylia51%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Omskie Krylia are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.

Why

  • Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

  • League table: Zvezda Moscow — No. 26, 15 pts; Omskie Krylia — No. 1, 34 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
  • Omskie Krylia: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Zvezda Moscow 4 wins, Omskie Krylia 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zvezda Moscow — Omskie Krylia1.8–2.5
Zvezda Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)30%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)70%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Zvezda Moscow
  • Zvezda Moscow goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Zvezda Moscow

  • 04.11away · Krasnoyarsk1:2
  • 01.11away · HC Norilsk2:5
  • 24.10Kaluga3:2 OT
  • 22.10AKM4:3 OT
  • 20.10Ryazan2:3

Omskie Krylia

  • 04.11Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1
  • 02.11Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:0
  • 30.10Orsk3:2 SO
  • 24.10away · Perm3:2
  • 22.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:0

Head to head

  • 27.01.2026Zvezda Moscow — Omskie Krylia4:1
  • 29.10.2025Omskie Krylia — Zvezda Moscow1:4
  • 12.01.2025Omskie Krylia — Zvezda Moscow2:3
  • 07.11.2024Zvezda Moscow — Omskie Krylia2:3 SO
  • 29.11.2023Zvezda Moscow — Omskie Krylia4:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia20170354–26+2834
2, PlayoffsHC Norilsk22152557–47+1032
25Dizel1863937–47-1015
26Zvezda Moscow19711145–60-1515
27Kurgan1854934–52-1814

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • OrskTambovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
  • Magnitka MagnitogorskBuran Voronezhpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • CSK VVSHC Norilskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • AlmetyevskKrasnoyarskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.5
  • KhimikKurganpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • AKMRyazanpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →