CSK VVS — HC Norilsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: CSK VVS 49%, HC Norilsk 51% including overtime.
4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.3.
Facts
- League table: CSK VVS — No. 29, 10 pts; HC Norilsk — No. 2, 32 pts. A gap of 22 pts.
- CSK VVS: 5 defeats in a row; HC Norilsk: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: CSK VVS 1 win, HC Norilsk 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSK VVS — HC Norilsk | 2.2–2.3 | |
| CSK VVS to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| HC Norilsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap CSK VVS
- CSK VVS goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 23.10away · Bars2:3
- 21.10away · Almetyevsk2:3 OT
- 12.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:5
- 10.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:5
- 08.10Zvezda Moscow2:3
- 03.11Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2 SO
- 01.11Zvezda Moscow5:2
- 30.10Khimik5:4
- 25.10away · Gornyak2:0
- 23.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1
Head to head
- 21.12.2025CSK VVS — HC Norilsk3:4 OT
- 21.11.2025HC Norilsk — CSK VVS3:5
- 04.03.2025HC Norilsk — CSK VVS2:0
- 17.09.2024CSK VVS — HC Norilsk2:3
- 16.02.2024CSK VVS — HC Norilsk2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 20 | 17 | +28 | 34 |
| 2, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 22 | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 3, Playoffs | Almetyevsk | 19 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 20 | 5 | -20 | 12 |
| 29 | CSK VVS | 18 | 4 | -27 | 10 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 18 | 4 | -33 | 10 |
VHL on the same day
- OrskTambovpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- Magnitka MagnitogorskBuran Voronezhpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
- AlmetyevskKrasnoyarskpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
- KhimikKurganpreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Zvezda MoscowOmskie Kryliapreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.3
- AKMRyazanpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →