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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Khimik — Kurgan

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Model prediction for 13 November

Khimik62%
Draw in regulation19%
Kurgan18%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Khimik are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Khimik are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.7.

Facts

  • League table: Khimik — No. 8, 26 pts; Kurgan — No. 27, 14 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Khimik 3 wins, Kurgan 2.
  • Days of rest before the match: Khimik 9, Kurgan 12.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Khimik — Kurgan3.0–1.7
Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout)74%
Kurgan to win (incl. OT and shootout)26%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Khimik
  • Khimik goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Khimik

  • 04.11away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk6:5
  • 02.11away · Krasnoyarsk4:2
  • 30.10away · HC Norilsk4:5
  • 22.10Kaluga2:3 SO
  • 20.10AKM2:3 SO

Kurgan

  • 01.11Orsk4:3 OT
  • 26.10away · Perm1:3
  • 24.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:4
  • 22.10away · Izhevsk4:2
  • 20.10away · Olympia1:3

Head to head

  • 23.01.2026Khimik — Kurgan3:1
  • 29.10.2025Kurgan — Khimik4:2
  • 05.04.2025Khimik — Kurgan5:3
  • 03.04.2025Kurgan — Khimik2:1 OT
  • 01.04.2025Khimik — Kurgan2:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, PlayoffsMetallurg Novokuznetsk21123646–32+1427
8, PlayoffsKhimik20114569–47+2226
9, PlayoffsKaluga20114543–34+926
26Zvezda Moscow19711145–60-1515
27Kurgan1854934–52-1814
28Izhevsk20521343–63-2012

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • OrskTambovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
  • Magnitka MagnitogorskBuran Voronezhpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • CSK VVSHC Norilskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • AlmetyevskKrasnoyarskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.5
  • Zvezda MoscowOmskie Kryliapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.3
  • AKMRyazanpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →