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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Almetyevsk — Krasnoyarsk

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Model prediction for 13 November

Almetyevsk57%
Draw in regulation21%
Krasnoyarsk22%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Almetyevsk are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.

Why

  • Almetyevsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

  • League table: Almetyevsk — No. 3, 30 pts; Krasnoyarsk — No. 24, 16 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
  • Almetyevsk: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Almetyevsk 4 wins, Krasnoyarsk 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Almetyevsk — Krasnoyarsk2.8–1.8
Almetyevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)35%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)65%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Almetyevsk
  • Almetyevsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Almetyevsk

  • 03.11away · Ryazan2:1
  • 25.10away · Bars2:0
  • 21.10CSK VVS3:2 OT
  • 14.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg2:1 SO
  • 12.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2

Krasnoyarsk

  • 02.11Khimik2:4
  • 27.10away · Gornyak3:0
  • 25.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:2
  • 23.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:2 SO
  • 21.10away · Orsk3:1

Head to head

  • 19.12.2025Almetyevsk — Krasnoyarsk5:0
  • 20.11.2025Krasnoyarsk — Almetyevsk2:10
  • 25.12.2024Krasnoyarsk — Almetyevsk4:2
  • 19.11.2024Almetyevsk — Krasnoyarsk4:3
  • 16.02.2024Almetyevsk — Krasnoyarsk6:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, PlayoffsHC Norilsk22152557–47+1032
3, PlayoffsAlmetyevsk19150453–34+1930
4, PlayoffsAKM21125461–48+1329
23Dyn. Altay19721037–51-1416
24Krasnoyarsk20801237–51-1416
25Dizel1863937–47-1015

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • OrskTambovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
  • Magnitka MagnitogorskBuran Voronezhpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • CSK VVSHC Norilskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • KhimikKurganpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • Zvezda MoscowOmskie Kryliapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.3
  • AKMRyazanpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →