VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, 17:00 (UTC+3)

Almetyevsk — Dyn. Altay

Model prediction for 21 November

Almetyevsk62%

Draw in regulation19%

Dyn. Altay19%

Model estimate at 13:45 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Almetyevsk are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

Almetyevsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.7.

Facts

League table: Almetyevsk — No. 3, 30 pts; Dyn. Altay — No. 23, 16 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
Almetyevsk: 5 wins in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Almetyevsk 4 wins, Dyn. Altay 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Almetyevsk — Dyn. Altay		3.0–1.7
Almetyevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)		74%
Dyn. Altay to win (incl. OT and shootout)		26%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		61%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Almetyevsk
Almetyevsk goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Almetyevsk

03.11away · Ryazan2:1
25.10away · Bars2:0
21.10CSK VVS3:2 OT
14.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg2:1 SO
12.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2

Dyn. Altay

31.10away · Gornyak2:3
29.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk1:3
27.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:2
25.10away · Orsk4:3 OT
19.10Perm1:5

Head to head

23.12.2025Almetyevsk — Dyn. Altay1:0
24.11.2025Dyn. Altay — Almetyevsk4:7
21.12.2024Dyn. Altay — Almetyevsk2:1 SO
27.11.2024Almetyevsk — Dyn. Altay2:1
19.12.2023Almetyevsk — Dyn. Altay2:1 SO

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
2, Playoffs	HC Norilsk	22	15	2	5	57–47	+10	32
3, Playoffs	Almetyevsk	19	15	0	4	53–34	+19	30
4, Playoffs	AKM	21	12	5	4	61–48	+13	29
22	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	17	5	6	6	31–36	-5	16
23	Dyn. Altay	19	7	2	10	37–51	-14	16
24	Krasnoyarsk	20	8	0	12	37–51	-14	16

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

09:00
HC NorilskKalugapreliminary
5149
1The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.9
11:00
Chelmet ChelyabinskKristall Saratovpreliminary
5545
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
11:00
GornyakDizelpreliminary
5446
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
13:00
Dinamo St. PetersburgHC Yugrapreliminary
3466
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5
17:00
SKA-VMF St. PetersburgRubin Tyumenpreliminary
6733
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →