VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Kristall Saratov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Chelmet Chelyabinsk are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- Chelmet Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 10 pts; Kristall Saratov — No. 14, 23 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 5 wins, Kristall Saratov 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Kristall Saratov | 2.7–2.4 | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chelmet Chelyabinsk
- Chelmet Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11away · Omskie Krylia1:2
- 29.10Dyn. Altay3:1
- 27.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk1:3
- 25.10Krasnoyarsk2:3
- 23.10HC Norilsk1:2
- 03.11Olympia2:3
- 25.10Tambov3:2
- 23.10Buran Voronezh4:2
- 19.10away · HC Yugra1:3
- 17.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:1
Head to head
- 04.03.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Kristall Saratov4:2
- 22.09.2025Kristall Saratov — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:5
- 21.02.2025Kristall Saratov — Chelmet Chelyabinsk0:5
- 30.09.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Kristall Saratov5:2
- 04.12.2023Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Kristall Saratov6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Playoffs | Toros Neftekamsk | 19 | 10 | +4 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 18 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 15, Playoffs | Tambov | 18 | 10 | +1 | 22 |
| 29 | CSK VVS | 18 | 4 | -27 | 10 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 18 | 4 | -33 | 10 |
VHL on the same day
- HC NorilskKalugapreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.9
- GornyakDizelpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Dinamo St. PetersburgHC Yugrapreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5
- AlmetyevskDyn. Altaypreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.8
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgRubin Tyumenpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →