VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Rubin Tyumen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 24%.
Why
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 1.6.
Facts
- League table: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — No. 10, 25 pts; Rubin Tyumen — No. 20, 19 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: 4 wins in a row; Rubin Tyumen: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 2 wins, Rubin Tyumen 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Rubin Tyumen | 2.4–1.6 | |
| SKA-VMF St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 24% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 76% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 28.10Kaluga2:0
- 26.10AKM5:0
- 24.10Ryazan4:0
- 16.10away · Bars4:0
- 14.10away · Almetyevsk1:2 SO
- 03.11Orsk3:4 SO
- 28.10away · Perm2:5
- 26.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:4
- 24.10away · Izhevsk5:2
- 22.10away · Olympia0:1 SO
Head to head
- 01.03.2026Rubin Tyumen — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg3:2 OT
- 21.09.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Rubin Tyumen1:5
- 03.04.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Rubin Tyumen3:1
- 01.04.2025Rubin Tyumen — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg2:1
- 29.03.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Rubin Tyumen3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs | Kaluga | 20 | 11 | +9 | 26 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 17 | 12 | +25 | 25 |
| 11, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 18 | 11 | +6 | 24 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 18 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
| 20 | Rubin Tyumen | 19 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 21 | Bars | 20 | 9 | -16 | 19 |
VHL on the same day
- HC NorilskKalugapreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.9
- Chelmet ChelyabinskKristall Saratovpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- GornyakDizelpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Dinamo St. PetersburgHC Yugrapreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5
- AlmetyevskDyn. Altaypreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →