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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Dinamo St. Petersburg — HC Yugra

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Model prediction for 21 November

Dinamo St. Petersburg26%
Draw in regulation22%
HC Yugra52%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

HC Yugra are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.

Why

  • HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Dinamo St. Petersburg — No. 19, 19 pts; HC Yugra — No. 12, 23 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dinamo St. Petersburg 0 wins, HC Yugra 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dinamo St. Petersburg — HC Yugra1.9–2.6
Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)34%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)66%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Dinamo St. Petersburg
  • Dinamo St. Petersburg goals
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Form

Dinamo St. Petersburg

  • 03.11away · HC Norilsk2:3 SO
  • 26.10Kaluga3:0
  • 24.10AKM2:1 SO
  • 22.10Ryazan3:4 OT
  • 14.10away · Bars2:4

HC Yugra

  • 30.10away · Perm2:3 SO
  • 28.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:5
  • 26.10away · Izhevsk5:4
  • 24.10away · Olympia4:0
  • 19.10Kristall Saratov3:1

Head to head

  • 05.03.2026HC Yugra — Dinamo St. Petersburg11:1
  • 21.09.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — HC Yugra1:6
  • 06.01.2025HC Yugra — Dinamo St. Petersburg6:2
  • 17.11.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — HC Yugra0:4
  • 12.02.2024HC Yugra — Dinamo St. Petersburg6:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh18112539–33+624
12, PlayoffsHC Yugra19111745–32+1323
13, PlayoffsToros Neftekamsk19103647–43+423
18Gornyak1792642–39+320
19Dinamo St. Petersburg1883749–54-519
20Rubin Tyumen1983843–53-1019

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →