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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

Buran Voronezh — Perm

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Model prediction for 6 November

Buran Voronezh36%
Draw in regulation24%
Perm40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Buran Voronezh 47%, Perm 53% including overtime.

4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.1 and 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Buran Voronezh — No. 4, 22 pts; Perm — No. 11, 18 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Buran Voronezh 1 win, Perm 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Buran Voronezh — Perm2.1–2.3
Buran Voronezh to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Perm to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)32%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)68%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Buran Voronezh
  • Buran Voronezh goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Buran Voronezh

  • 13.10away · HC Yugra1:0
  • 11.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:4 SO
  • 09.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
  • 07.10away · Omskie Krylia1:0
  • 01.10Dyn. Altay4:2

Perm

  • 15.10away · Krasnoyarsk6:0
  • 12.10away · HC Norilsk1:3
  • 07.10Kaluga1:3
  • 05.10AKM3:0
  • 03.10Ryazan1:0

Head to head

  • 10.01.2026Buran Voronezh — Perm1:4
  • 10.11.2025Perm — Buran Voronezh3:2 SO
  • 20.02.2025Buran Voronezh — Perm5:2
  • 28.09.2024Perm — Buran Voronezh3:2
  • 25.01.2024Perm — Buran Voronezh4:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, PlayoffsKaluga15103237–21+1623
4, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
5, PlayoffsMetallurg Novokuznetsk1593330–18+1221
10, PlayoffsKhimik1482446–28+1818
11, PlayoffsPerm1390436–23+1318
12, PlayoffsKristall Saratov1381435–43-817

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →