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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

Rubin Tyumen — Magnitka Magnitogorsk

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Model prediction for 6 November

Rubin Tyumen38%
Draw in regulation24%
Magnitka Magnitogorsk37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Rubin Tyumen 50%, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 50% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 25%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Rubin Tyumen — No. 18, 15 pts; Magnitka Magnitogorsk — No. 20, 14 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 4 meetings: Rubin Tyumen 2 wins, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rubin Tyumen — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2.0–2.0
Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)25%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)75%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Rubin Tyumen
  • Rubin Tyumen goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Rubin Tyumen

  • 15.10Dizel2:3 OT
  • 13.10Tambov3:2 OT
  • 11.10Buran Voronezh4:3 SO
  • 03.10away · Omskie Krylia3:4
  • 01.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO

Magnitka Magnitogorsk

  • 14.10away · Kaluga1:3
  • 12.10away · AKM3:2
  • 10.10away · Ryazan3:4 SO
  • 02.10Bars4:2
  • 30.09Almetyevsk1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 12.01.2026Rubin Tyumen — Magnitka Magnitogorsk0:4
  • 05.11.2025Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Rubin Tyumen2:1
  • 30.01.2025Rubin Tyumen — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:1 OT
  • 21.10.2024Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Rubin Tyumen0:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
17Toros Neftekamsk1463532–34-215
18Rubin Tyumen1371531–35-415
19HC Yugra1370626–19+714
20Magnitka Magnitogorsk1254325–23+214
21Dizel1462632–33-114

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →