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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

Omskie Krylia — Gornyak

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Model prediction for 6 November

Omskie Krylia45%
Draw in regulation22%
Gornyak33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Omskie Krylia are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Omskie Krylia — No. 6, 20 pts; Gornyak — No. 16, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Omskie Krylia: 3 wins in a row; Gornyak: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Omskie Krylia 4 wins, Gornyak 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Omskie Krylia — Gornyak2.7–2.3
Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Omskie Krylia
  • Omskie Krylia goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Omskie Krylia

  • 13.10Kristall Saratov7:1
  • 11.10Dizel3:2
  • 09.10Tambov5:1
  • 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
  • 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3

Gornyak

  • 16.10away · AKM1:4
  • 14.10away · Ryazan3:5
  • 06.10Bars2:3
  • 04.10Almetyevsk1:2 SO
  • 02.10CSK VVS5:2

Head to head

  • 12.01.2026Omskie Krylia — Gornyak3:2 SO
  • 13.11.2025Gornyak — Omskie Krylia1:2 OT
  • 30.01.2025Omskie Krylia — Gornyak2:4
  • 21.10.2024Gornyak — Omskie Krylia2:3
  • 22.01.2024Omskie Krylia — Gornyak4:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, PlayoffsMetallurg Novokuznetsk1593330–18+1221
6, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia13100337–19+1820
7, PlayoffsHC Norilsk1592435–33+220
15, PlayoffsTambov1472535–40-516
16, PlayoffsGornyak1271433–27+615
17Toros Neftekamsk1463532–34-215

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →