Omskie Krylia — Gornyak
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Omskie Krylia are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Omskie Krylia — No. 6, 20 pts; Gornyak — No. 16, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Omskie Krylia: 3 wins in a row; Gornyak: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Omskie Krylia 4 wins, Gornyak 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Omskie Krylia — Gornyak | 2.7–2.3 | |
| Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Omskie Krylia
- Omskie Krylia goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10Kristall Saratov7:1
- 11.10Dizel3:2
- 09.10Tambov5:1
- 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3
Head to head
- 12.01.2026Omskie Krylia — Gornyak3:2 SO
- 13.11.2025Gornyak — Omskie Krylia1:2 OT
- 30.01.2025Omskie Krylia — Gornyak2:4
- 21.10.2024Gornyak — Omskie Krylia2:3
- 22.01.2024Omskie Krylia — Gornyak4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 15 | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 6, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 7, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 15, Playoffs | Tambov | 14 | 7 | -5 | 16 |
| 16, Playoffs | Gornyak | 12 | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 14 | 6 | -2 | 15 |
VHL on the same day
- Dyn. AltayKhimikpreliminary27732The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.9
- KrasnoyarskDinamo St. Petersburgpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- Metallurg NovokuznetskZvezda Moscowpreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.8
- KurganChelmet Chelyabinskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Rubin TyumenMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- TambovToros Neftekamskpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Buran VoronezhPermpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →