VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Kurgan — Chelmet Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Kurgan 53%, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 47% including overtime.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Kurgan — No. 27, 10 pts; Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 8 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Chelmet Chelyabinsk: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Kurgan 4 wins, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kurgan — Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 2.5–2.4 | |
| Kurgan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kurgan
- Kurgan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 15.10Kristall Saratov2:4
- 13.10Dizel4:3
- 11.10Tambov0:3
- 09.10Buran Voronezh2:3 SO
- 01.10Rubin Tyumen2:3 SO
- 16.10away · Kaluga1:5
- 14.10away · AKM2:4
- 12.10away · Ryazan0:8
- 04.10Bars3:4
- 02.10Almetyevsk4:2
Head to head
- 12.01.2026Kurgan — Chelmet Chelyabinsk5:1
- 09.11.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Kurgan3:4 OT
- 30.01.2025Kurgan — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:3 OT
- 21.10.2024Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Kurgan0:2
- 22.12.2023Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Kurgan2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Izhevsk | 14 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 27 | Kurgan | 13 | 3 | -16 | 10 |
| 28 | CSK VVS | 16 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 15 | 4 | -19 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 13 | 3 | -30 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- Dyn. AltayKhimikpreliminary27732The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.9
- KrasnoyarskDinamo St. Petersburgpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- Metallurg NovokuznetskZvezda Moscowpreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Omskie KryliaGornyakpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Rubin TyumenMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- TambovToros Neftekamskpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Buran VoronezhPermpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →