VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Zvezda Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Metallurg Novokuznetsk are clear favourites: 76% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 1.7.
Facts
- League table: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — No. 5, 21 pts; Zvezda Moscow — No. 25, 11 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3 wins, Zvezda Moscow 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Zvezda Moscow | 3.1–1.7 | |
| Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 76% | |
| Zvezda Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 24% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Metallurg Novokuznetsk
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 15.10Toros Neftekamsk3:2 SO
- 13.10Izhevsk3:2 SO
- 11.10Olympia2:0
- 05.10away · Kristall Saratov2:0
- 03.10away · Dizel2:0
- 12.10away · Bars2:5
- 10.10away · Almetyevsk5:3
- 08.10away · CSK VVS3:2
- 02.10Dinamo St. Petersburg2:4
- 30.09SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:3
Head to head
- 11.02.2026Zvezda Moscow — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3 OT
- 07.10.2025Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Zvezda Moscow5:1
- 23.02.2025Zvezda Moscow — Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:2
- 28.09.2024Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Zvezda Moscow5:3
- 27.11.2023Zvezda Moscow — Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 14 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 5, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 15 | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 6, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 24 | Olympia | 14 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 25 | Zvezda Moscow | 14 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 26 | Izhevsk | 14 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
VHL on the same day
- Dyn. AltayKhimikpreliminary27732The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.9
- KrasnoyarskDinamo St. Petersburgpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- Omskie KryliaGornyakpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- KurganChelmet Chelyabinskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Rubin TyumenMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- TambovToros Neftekamskpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Buran VoronezhPermpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →