VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Tambov — Toros Neftekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tambov are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Tambov — No. 15, 16 pts; Toros Neftekamsk — No. 17, 15 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Toros Neftekamsk: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Tambov 4 wins, Toros Neftekamsk 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tambov — Toros Neftekamsk | 2.5–2.3 | |
| Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tambov
- Tambov goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 15.10away · HC Yugra1:6
- 13.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:3 OT
- 11.10away · Kurgan3:0
- 09.10away · Omskie Krylia1:5
- 03.10Dyn. Altay2:0
- 15.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3 SO
- 13.10away · Krasnoyarsk0:2
- 10.10away · HC Norilsk3:5
- 05.10Kaluga0:1
- 03.10AKM0:3
Head to head
- 12.01.2026Tambov — Toros Neftekamsk4:2
- 08.11.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Tambov2:3 SO
- 22.02.2025Tambov — Toros Neftekamsk2:3 SO
- 28.09.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Tambov1:4
- 27.01.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Tambov3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs | Ryazan | 16 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| 15, Playoffs | Tambov | 14 | 7 | -5 | 16 |
| 16, Playoffs | Gornyak | 12 | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 14 | 6 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Rubin Tyumen | 13 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
VHL on the same day
- Dyn. AltayKhimikpreliminary27732The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.9
- KrasnoyarskDinamo St. Petersburgpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- Metallurg NovokuznetskZvezda Moscowpreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Omskie KryliaGornyakpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- KurganChelmet Chelyabinskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Rubin TyumenMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- Buran VoronezhPermpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →