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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Ceske Budejovice — Plzen

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Model prediction for 24 November

Ceske Budejovice36%
Draw in regulation23%
Plzen40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Ceske Budejovice 47%, Plzen 53% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Ceske Budejovice — No. 5, 26 pts; Plzen — No. 7, 25 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Plzen: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Ceske Budejovice 3 wins, Plzen 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ceske Budejovice — Plzen2.2–2.3
Ceske Budejovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Ceske Budejovice
  • Ceske Budejovice goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Ceske Budejovice

  • 01.11Karlovy Vary2:3
  • 30.10away · Olomouc0:4
  • 27.10Mountfield HK3:0
  • 25.10away · Mlada Boleslav2:3 SO
  • 23.10away · Trinec6:2

Plzen

  • 01.11Kladno6:5 SO
  • 30.10Trinec4:2
  • 27.10Olomouc3:2 OT
  • 25.10away · Liberec0:2
  • 23.10away · Litvinov0:2

Head to head

  • 08.10.2026Plzen — Ceske Budejovice4:1
  • 16.01.2026Ceske Budejovice — Plzen5:1
  • 05.12.2025Plzen — Ceske Budejovice2:3 OT
  • 19.10.2025Ceske Budejovice — Plzen0:3
  • 14.09.2025Plzen — Ceske Budejovice1:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarlovy Vary17820741–33+828
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice17802745–47-226
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague17712745–40+525
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Mlada BoleslavKladnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • Karlovy VaryLiberecpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • Kometa BrnoSparta Praguepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • Mountfield HKTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • OlomoucLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
  • PardubiceVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →