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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Karlovy Vary — Liberec

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Model prediction for 24 November

Karlovy Vary41%
Draw in regulation23%
Liberec36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Karlovy Vary 53%, Liberec 47% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Karlovy Vary — No. 4, 28 pts; Liberec — No. 8, 24 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Karlovy Vary 2 wins, Liberec 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Karlovy Vary — Liberec2.3–2.1
Karlovy Vary to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Karlovy Vary
  • Karlovy Vary goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Karlovy Vary

  • 01.11away · Ceske Budejovice3:2
  • 30.10Pardubice2:4
  • 27.10Mlada Boleslav1:2
  • 25.10away · Trinec1:2
  • 23.10away · Mountfield HK4:3 OT

Liberec

  • 01.11Mountfield HK4:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Kladno2:4
  • 25.10Plzen2:0
  • 23.10Sparta Prague3:1
  • 20.10away · Vitkovice2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026Liberec — Karlovy Vary5:0
  • 31.03.2026Liberec — Karlovy Vary0:1 OT
  • 29.03.2026Karlovy Vary — Liberec4:0
  • 27.03.2026Liberec — Karlovy Vary3:1
  • 25.03.2026Karlovy Vary — Liberec1:4

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKladno17733453–49+430
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarlovy Vary17820741–33+828
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice17802745–47-226
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Ceske BudejovicePlzenpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • Mlada BoleslavKladnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • Kometa BrnoSparta Praguepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • Mountfield HKTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • OlomoucLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
  • PardubiceVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →