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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Mountfield HK — Trinec

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Model prediction for 24 November

Mountfield HK38%
Draw in regulation22%
Trinec39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Mountfield HK 49%, Trinec 51% including overtime.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Mountfield HK — No. 9, 24 pts; Trinec — No. 1, 42 pts. A gap of 18 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Mountfield HK 1 win, Trinec 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mountfield HK — Trinec2.5–2.5
Mountfield HK to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Trinec to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Mountfield HK
  • Mountfield HK goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Mountfield HK

  • 01.11away · Liberec3:4 OT
  • 27.10away · Ceske Budejovice0:3
  • 25.10Pardubice2:0
  • 23.10Karlovy Vary3:4 OT
  • 18.10away · Mlada Boleslav3:4

Trinec

  • 01.11away · Vitkovice3:1
  • 30.10away · Plzen2:4
  • 28.10away · Kometa Brno4:3 OT
  • 25.10Karlovy Vary2:1
  • 23.10Ceske Budejovice2:6

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026Trinec — Mountfield HK5:2
  • 27.03.2026Mountfield HK — Trinec2:3 OT
  • 25.03.2026Trinec — Mountfield HK4:2
  • 24.03.2026Trinec — Mountfield HK2:3
  • 21.03.2026Mountfield HK — Trinec2:3 OT

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsTrinec171311267–39+2842
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice171111464–43+2136
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Ceske BudejovicePlzenpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • Mlada BoleslavKladnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • Karlovy VaryLiberecpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • Kometa BrnoSparta Praguepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • OlomoucLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
  • PardubiceVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →