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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Olomouc — Litvinov

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Model prediction for 24 November

Olomouc39%
Draw in regulation23%
Litvinov38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Olomouc 50%, Litvinov 50% including overtime.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Olomouc — No. 14, 13 pts; Litvinov — No. 11, 21 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Olomouc 3 wins, Litvinov 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Olomouc — Litvinov2.3–2.3
Olomouc to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Litvinov to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Olomouc
  • Olomouc goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Olomouc

  • 01.11away · Kometa Brno2:3
  • 30.10Ceske Budejovice4:0
  • 27.10away · Plzen2:3 OT
  • 24.10away · Sparta Prague1:2 OT
  • 22.10Mlada Boleslav4:2

Litvinov

  • 01.11away · Sparta Prague0:3
  • 30.10Vitkovice2:3
  • 27.10away · Pardubice3:2
  • 25.10Kometa Brno1:4
  • 23.10Plzen2:0

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026Litvinov — Olomouc3:1
  • 25.01.2026Litvinov — Olomouc3:5
  • 21.12.2025Olomouc — Litvinov4:3 OT
  • 28.10.2025Litvinov — Olomouc1:0
  • 21.10.2025Olomouc — Litvinov3:2

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov17611936–45-921
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217
13Vitkovice16412938–52-1416
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc173121132–55-2313

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Ceske BudejovicePlzenpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • Mlada BoleslavKladnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • Karlovy VaryLiberecpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • Kometa BrnoSparta Praguepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • Mountfield HKTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • PardubiceVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →