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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Pardubice — Vitkovice

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Model prediction for 24 November

Pardubice62%
Draw in regulation19%
Vitkovice19%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pardubice are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Pardubice — No. 2, 36 pts; Vitkovice — No. 13, 16 pts. A gap of 20 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Pardubice 2 wins, Vitkovice 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pardubice — Vitkovice3.4–2.0
Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout)74%
Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)26%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Pardubice
  • Pardubice goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Pardubice

  • 01.11Mlada Boleslav4:0
  • 30.10away · Karlovy Vary4:2
  • 27.10Litvinov2:3
  • 25.10away · Mountfield HK0:2
  • 23.10away · Kladno3:4 OT

Vitkovice

  • 01.11Trinec1:3
  • 30.10away · Litvinov3:2
  • 25.10away · Kladno1:2
  • 23.10Kometa Brno3:2
  • 20.10Liberec3:2 SO

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026Vitkovice — Pardubice2:3
  • 04.03.2026Vitkovice — Pardubice4:2
  • 04.01.2026Pardubice — Vitkovice4:1
  • 23.11.2025Vitkovice — Pardubice3:2
  • 05.10.2025Pardubice — Vitkovice3:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsTrinec171311267–39+2842
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice171111464–43+2136
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKladno17733453–49+430
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217
13Vitkovice16412938–52-1416
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc173121132–55-2313

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Ceske BudejovicePlzenpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • Mlada BoleslavKladnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • Karlovy VaryLiberecpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • Kometa BrnoSparta Praguepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • Mountfield HKTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • OlomoucLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →