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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Kometa Brno — Sparta Prague

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Model prediction for 24 November

Kometa Brno36%
Draw in regulation23%
Sparta Prague41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sparta Prague are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Kometa Brno — No. 10, 24 pts; Sparta Prague — No. 6, 25 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Kometa Brno 4 wins, Sparta Prague 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kometa Brno — Sparta Prague2.3–2.5
Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)61%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kometa Brno
  • Kometa Brno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kometa Brno

  • 01.11Olomouc3:2
  • 28.10Trinec3:4 OT
  • 25.10away · Litvinov4:1
  • 23.10away · Vitkovice2:3
  • 20.10away · Karlovy Vary1:2 OT

Sparta Prague

  • 01.11Litvinov3:0
  • 30.10away · Mlada Boleslav4:1
  • 27.10away · Kladno1:5
  • 24.10Olomouc2:1 OT
  • 23.10away · Liberec1:3

Head to head

  • 08.10.2026Sparta Prague — Kometa Brno3:4 OT
  • 15.01.2026Sparta Prague — Kometa Brno1:3
  • 05.12.2025Kometa Brno — Sparta Prague3:1
  • 19.10.2025Sparta Prague — Kometa Brno4:1
  • 14.09.2025Kometa Brno — Sparta Prague2:0

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice17802745–47-226
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague17712745–40+525
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov17611936–45-921

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Ceske BudejovicePlzenpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • Mlada BoleslavKladnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • Karlovy VaryLiberecpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • Mountfield HKTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • OlomoucLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
  • PardubiceVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →