NHL · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Chicago Blackhawks — Toronto Maple Leafs
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Toronto Maple Leafs are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.7 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- Toronto Maple Leafs are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Chicago Blackhawks — No. 31, 9 pts; Toronto Maple Leafs — No. 13, 18 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Chicago Blackhawks: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Chicago Blackhawks 2 wins, Toronto Maple Leafs 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Toronto Maple Leafs | 2.6–3.1 | |
| Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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- Chicago Blackhawks goals
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Form
- 03.11Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 31.10away · Boston Bruins4:5 OT
- 30.10away · Detroit Red Wings1:4
- 28.10Los Angeles Kings2:1
- 25.10Florida Panthers2:3
- 04.11Utah Mammoth2:3
- 01.11away · Vancouver Canucks4:2
- 29.10away · Seattle Kraken4:5
- 27.10away · Calgary Flames2:5
- 25.10away · Edmonton Oilers7:2
Head to head
- 17.12.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Chicago Blackhawks3:2
- 16.11.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
- 24.02.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Toronto Maple Leafs2:5
- 03.12.2024Toronto Maple Leafs — Chicago Blackhawks4:1
- 24.11.2023Chicago Blackhawks — Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 15 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 30 | Los Angeles Kings | 13 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 31 | Chicago Blackhawks | 15 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
| 32 | Vancouver Canucks | 17 | 3 | -26 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Florida PanthersEdmonton Oilerspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New York IslandersColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Philadelphia FlyersBuffalo Sabrespreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Winnipeg JetsOttawa Senatorspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Tampa Bay LightningWashington Capitalspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Minnesota WildNashville Predatorspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.5
- St. Louis BluesAnaheim Duckspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →