NHL · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Winnipeg Jets — Ottawa Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ottawa Senators are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Winnipeg Jets — No. 26, 13 pts; Ottawa Senators — No. 12, 19 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Winnipeg Jets 2 wins, Ottawa Senators 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Ottawa Senators | 2.6–2.8 | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11away · Montreal Canadiens5:4 OT
- 01.11away · Carolina Hurricanes0:7
- 31.10away · Florida Panthers2:5
- 30.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning4:6
- 28.10Florida Panthers1:5
- 02.11away · Anaheim Ducks3:6
- 31.10away · San Jose Sharks5:1
- 30.10away · Los Angeles Kings5:6 OT
- 28.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:4
- 25.10New York Rangers7:4
Head to head
- 04.01.2026Ottawa Senators — Winnipeg Jets4:2
- 16.12.2025Winnipeg Jets — Ottawa Senators2:3 OT
- 27.02.2025Ottawa Senators — Winnipeg Jets1:4
- 29.12.2024Winnipeg Jets — Ottawa Senators4:2
- 31.03.2024Winnipeg Jets — Ottawa Senators2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Dallas Stars | 15 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 25 | Calgary Flames | 15 | 7 | -15 | 14 |
| 26 | Winnipeg Jets | 16 | 5 | -19 | 13 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 15 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Florida PanthersEdmonton Oilerspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New York IslandersColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Philadelphia FlyersBuffalo Sabrespreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Chicago BlackhawksToronto Maple Leafspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- Tampa Bay LightningWashington Capitalspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Minnesota WildNashville Predatorspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.5
- St. Louis BluesAnaheim Duckspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →