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NHL · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Florida Panthers — Edmonton Oilers

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Model prediction for 18 November

Florida Panthers40%
Draw in regulation23%
Edmonton Oilers37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Florida Panthers 52%, Edmonton Oilers 48% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Florida Panthers — No. 14, 18 pts; Edmonton Oilers — No. 2, 25 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Florida Panthers 3 wins, Edmonton Oilers 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Florida Panthers — Edmonton Oilers2.8–2.7
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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Form

Florida Panthers

  • 03.11Detroit Red Wings3:5
  • 31.10Winnipeg Jets5:2
  • 28.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
  • 25.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:2
  • 23.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins0:4

Edmonton Oilers

  • 04.11away · New Jersey Devils3:4 SO
  • 02.11away · New York Rangers4:1
  • 31.10away · New York Islanders4:0
  • 29.10Calgary Flames4:0
  • 27.10Detroit Red Wings3:4 SO

Head to head

  • 20.03.2026Edmonton Oilers — Florida Panthers0:4
  • 23.11.2025Florida Panthers — Edmonton Oilers3:6
  • 18.06.2025Florida Panthers — Edmonton Oilers5:1
  • 15.06.2025Edmonton Oilers — Florida Panthers2:5
  • 13.06.2025Florida Panthers — Edmonton Oilers4:5 OT

Full record: 25 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes17122364–40+2426
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers16113267–48+1925
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild17113356–38+1825
13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs1782762–56+618
14Florida Panthers1582547–44+318
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers1681748–47+117

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →