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NHL · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

New York Islanders — Columbus Blue Jackets

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Model prediction for 18 November

New York Islanders41%
Draw in regulation24%
Columbus Blue Jackets35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

New York Islanders are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: New York Islanders — No. 21, 16 pts; Columbus Blue Jackets — No. 28, 12 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: New York Islanders 3 wins, Columbus Blue Jackets 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New York Islanders — Columbus Blue Jackets2.6–2.4
New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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Form

New York Islanders

  • 31.10Edmonton Oilers0:4
  • 30.10away · Minnesota Wild4:3 OT
  • 28.10away · Nashville Predators4:3 SO
  • 26.10away · Dallas Stars3:6
  • 23.10Los Angeles Kings2:3 OT

Columbus Blue Jackets

  • 04.11Colorado Avalanche7:2
  • 01.11away · Dallas Stars1:3
  • 30.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:3
  • 28.10away · Philadelphia Flyers4:3 OT
  • 25.10Vegas Golden Knights2:1 OT

Head to head

  • 23.03.2026New York Islanders — Columbus Blue Jackets1:0
  • 01.03.2026Columbus Blue Jackets — New York Islanders3:4 OT
  • 29.12.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — New York Islanders4:2
  • 03.11.2025New York Islanders — Columbus Blue Jackets3:2
  • 18.04.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — New York Islanders6:1

Full record: 22 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
20Washington Capitals1480649–48+116
21New York Islanders1472540–39+116
22St. Louis Blues1571745–45015
27Pittsburgh Penguins1552849–52-312
28Columbus Blue Jackets1360736–41-512
29Philadelphia Flyers1744937–58-2112

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →