NHL · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Philadelphia Flyers — Buffalo Sabres
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Buffalo Sabres are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Philadelphia Flyers — No. 29, 12 pts; Buffalo Sabres — No. 19, 17 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Buffalo Sabres: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Philadelphia Flyers 2 wins, Buffalo Sabres 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Buffalo Sabres | 2.5–2.7 | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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Form
- 04.11Minnesota Wild2:4
- 02.11Utah Mammoth6:3
- 29.10away · Washington Capitals2:5
- 28.10Columbus Blue Jackets3:4 OT
- 24.10Anaheim Ducks4:5
- 31.10away · Los Angeles Kings3:2
- 30.10away · Anaheim Ducks7:6
- 28.10away · San Jose Sharks2:0
- 25.10away · Washington Capitals3:4 OT
- 22.10Philadelphia Flyers1:3
Head to head
- 22.10.2026Buffalo Sabres — Philadelphia Flyers1:3
- 15.01.2026Buffalo Sabres — Philadelphia Flyers5:2
- 19.12.2025Buffalo Sabres — Philadelphia Flyers5:3
- 04.12.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Buffalo Sabres5:2
- 18.04.2025Buffalo Sabres — Philadelphia Flyers5:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Nashville Predators | 15 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 14 | 7 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Washington Capitals | 14 | 8 | +1 | 16 |
| 28 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 13 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 29 | Philadelphia Flyers | 17 | 4 | -21 | 12 |
| 30 | Los Angeles Kings | 13 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Florida PanthersEdmonton Oilerspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New York IslandersColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Winnipeg JetsOttawa Senatorspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- Chicago BlackhawksToronto Maple Leafspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- Tampa Bay LightningWashington Capitalspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Minnesota WildNashville Predatorspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.5
- St. Louis BluesAnaheim Duckspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →