Frolunda — Djurgarden
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Frolunda are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Frolunda are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Frolunda — Djurgarden | 3.1–1.8 | |
| Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 74% | |
| Djurgarden to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 26% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Frolunda
- Frolunda goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10away · IF Bjorkloven2:3
- 08.10away · Timra1:4
- 03.10Djurgarden4:2
- 01.10Brynas2:1
- 26.09away · Malmo2:1
- 10.10Linkoping5:1
- 08.10Orebro2:1
- 03.10away · Frolunda2:4
- 01.10Farjestad0:4
- 26.09away · Timra2:3 OT
Head to head
- 03.10.2026Frolunda — Djurgarden4:2
- 12.03.2026Frolunda — Djurgarden1:3
- 17.01.2026Djurgarden — Frolunda1:6
- 04.12.2025Frolunda — Djurgarden3:2 OT
- 23.09.2025Djurgarden — Frolunda2:11
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Farjestad | 8 | 7 | +26 | 22 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Frolunda | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | IF Bjorkloven | 8 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Vaxjo | 8 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Djurgarden | 8 | 2 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | HV 71 | 8 | 1 | -5 | 8 |
SHL on the same day
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →