Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Jokerit — Assat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Assat are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- Assat are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Jokerit — Assat | 2.1–2.5 | |
| Jokerit to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Assat to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Jokerit
- Jokerit goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10Ilves0:3
- 08.10IFK Helsinki3:2 OT
- 03.10away · SaiPa2:3
- 02.10away · Tappara2:3 OT
- 29.09Hameenlinna3:0
- 09.10Hameenlinna2:3 SO
- 07.10away · Jukurit1:0
- 03.10away · Lukko5:2
- 02.10Lukko0:3
- 26.09away · Hameenlinna4:5 OT
Head to head
- 09.09.2026Assat — Jokerit3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Jukurit | 14 | 6 | +7 | 24 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Assat | 12 | 6 | +3 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karpat | 13 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 15, Relegation play-off | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | -11 | 13 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Jokerit | 13 | 2 | -17 | 10 |
| 17, Relegation | KooKoo | 12 | 1 | -27 | 4 |
Liiga on the same day
- 39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- 67331The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →