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Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Jukurit — KooKoo

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Model prediction for 14 November

Jukurit39%
Draw in regulation23%
KooKoo38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Jukurit 50%, KooKoo 50% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Jukurit — No. 3, 36 pts; KooKoo — No. 17, 10 pts. A gap of 26 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Jukurit 1 win, KooKoo 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Jukurit — KooKoo2.4–2.4
Jukurit to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)40%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)60%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Jukurit
  • Jukurit goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Jukurit

  • 31.10away · Karpat2:1
  • 28.10Lukko3:4 SO
  • 24.10away · Ilves2:1 SO
  • 23.10Ilves0:3
  • 20.10away · Vaasan Sport3:0

KooKoo

  • 31.10IFK Helsinki1:3
  • 30.10away · Lukko1:3
  • 28.10Assat5:3
  • 24.10Jokerit3:6
  • 21.10away · Kiekko-Espoo2:4

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026KooKoo — Jukurit4:1
  • 26.09.2026KooKoo — Jukurit3:5
  • 14.03.2026Jukurit — KooKoo3:7
  • 13.03.2026KooKoo — Jukurit5:1
  • 11.10.2025KooKoo — Jukurit5:1

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsIlves201031652–39+1337
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJukurit20941649–40+936
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJYP171021459–48+1135
16, Relegation play-offJokerit183141041–62-2115
17, RelegationKooKoo202121546–81-3510

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • AssatJokeritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • JYPPelicanspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • KarpatTapparapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
  • Vaasan SportHameenlinnapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →