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Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

JYP — Pelicans

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Model prediction for 14 November

JYP47%
Draw in regulation23%
Pelicans30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

JYP are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • JYP are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: JYP — No. 4, 35 pts; Pelicans — No. 13, 24 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: JYP 2 wins, Pelicans 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: JYP — Pelicans2.6–2.1
JYP to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Pelicans to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap JYP
  • JYP goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

JYP

  • 31.10Jokerit5:4 OT
  • 30.10away · SaiPa6:3
  • 28.10Tappara4:6
  • 24.10Assat4:1
  • 22.10Hameenlinna3:2

Pelicans

  • 31.10Kiekko-Espoo0:3
  • 30.10away · TPS Turku1:2
  • 28.10SaiPa5:0
  • 24.10Tappara5:4 SO
  • 20.10away · Hameenlinna3:1

Head to head

  • 19.09.2026Pelicans — JYP1:3
  • 23.03.2026JYP — Pelicans0:1
  • 21.03.2026Pelicans — JYP3:2
  • 20.03.2026JYP — Pelicans1:3
  • 14.02.2026JYP — Pelicans3:2 OT

Full record: 16 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJukurit20941649–40+936
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJYP171021459–48+1135
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaiPa18931552–38+1434
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKalPa18801946–41+525
13, Relegation play-offPelicans17711840–38+224
14, Relegation play-offHameenlinna206301142–55-1324

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • AssatJokeritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • JukuritKooKoopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
  • KarpatTapparapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
  • Vaasan SportHameenlinnapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →