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KHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

Khabarovsk — SKA St. Petersburg

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Model prediction for 6 November

Khabarovsk33%
Draw in regulation22%
SKA St. Petersburg44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

SKA St. Petersburg are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • SKA St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Khabarovsk — No. 11, 17 pts; SKA St. Petersburg — No. 10, 17 pts.
  • SKA St. Petersburg: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Khabarovsk 1 win, SKA St. Petersburg 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Khabarovsk — SKA St. Petersburg2.3–2.6
Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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Form

Khabarovsk

  • 14.10Spartak Moscow1:2
  • 12.10Lada1:0
  • 08.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:0
  • 06.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
  • 04.10away · Yekaterinburg3:0

SKA St. Petersburg

  • 15.10away · Lada0:1
  • 13.10away · Cherepovets0:2
  • 11.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:4 OT
  • 08.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:4
  • 06.10Cherepovets2:5

Head to head

  • 07.12.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Khabarovsk3:4 SO
  • 06.12.2025Khabarovsk — SKA St. Petersburg1:2 OT
  • 30.11.2024Khabarovsk — SKA St. Petersburg5:7
  • 18.11.2024SKA St. Petersburg — Khabarovsk6:3
  • 17.01.2024SKA St. Petersburg — Khabarovsk6:2

Full record: 27 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceShanghai1482440–38+218
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSKA St. Petersburg1581647–45+217
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1581624–22+217
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBars Kazan1681737–37017

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →