KHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Spartak Moscow — Dinamo Minsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dinamo Minsk are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Spartak Moscow — No. 6, 20 pts; Dinamo Minsk — No. 14, 17 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Spartak Moscow: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Spartak Moscow 1 win, Dinamo Minsk 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Spartak Moscow — Dinamo Minsk | 2.6–2.8 | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 16.10away · Vladivostok5:1
- 14.10away · Khabarovsk2:1
- 09.10away · Sochi2:0
- 07.10away · Sochi5:2
- 04.10Barys Astana3:4 SO
- 14.10Magnitogorsk1:3
- 12.10away · Shanghai3:2
- 10.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
- 08.10SKA St. Petersburg4:2
- 05.10Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
Head to head
- 18.02.2026Dinamo Minsk — Spartak Moscow6:1
- 15.02.2026Spartak Moscow — Dinamo Minsk4:3
- 22.11.2025Dinamo Minsk — Spartak Moscow6:0
- 09.09.2025Spartak Moscow — Dinamo Minsk0:3
- 27.02.2025Dinamo Minsk — Spartak Moscow2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 10 | +16 | 21 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 16 | 9 | +13 | 20 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 16 | 9 | +10 | 20 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 16 | 8 | -3 | 17 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 6 | -8 | 17 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Novosibirsk | 16 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
KHL on the same day
- KhabarovskSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- VladivostokBarys Astanapreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- Salavat UfaYekaterinburgpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Tractor ChelyabinskBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- LadaLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →