KHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Salavat Ufa — Yekaterinburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Salavat Ufa 52%, Yekaterinburg 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Salavat Ufa — No. 13, 17 pts; Yekaterinburg — No. 16, 14 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Salavat Ufa 4 wins, Yekaterinburg 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salavat Ufa — Yekaterinburg | 2.5–2.3 | |
| Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Salavat Ufa
- Salavat Ufa goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Novosibirsk2:4
- 12.10Niznekamsk4:3
- 09.10away · Magnitogorsk1:7
- 07.10away · Novosibirsk5:4 OT
- 05.10away · CSKA Moscow1:3
- 16.10away · Avangard Omsk2:4
- 14.10away · Barys Astana1:4
- 06.10Avangard Omsk4:0
- 04.10Khabarovsk0:3
- 02.10Khabarovsk3:0
Head to head
- 02.04.2026Salavat Ufa — Yekaterinburg4:3 OT
- 31.03.2026Yekaterinburg — Salavat Ufa5:2
- 29.03.2026Salavat Ufa — Yekaterinburg5:2
- 27.03.2026Salavat Ufa — Yekaterinburg4:3
- 25.03.2026Yekaterinburg — Salavat Ufa0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 16 | 8 | 0 | 17 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 16 | 8 | -3 | 17 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 6 | -8 | 17 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Novosibirsk | 16 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 15 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Avangard Omsk | 14 | 7 | -10 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- KhabarovskSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- VladivostokBarys Astanapreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- Tractor ChelyabinskBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- LadaLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.3
- Spartak MoscowDinamo Minskpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →