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KHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan

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Model prediction for 6 November

Tractor Chelyabinsk42%
Draw in regulation23%
Bars Kazan35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Tractor Chelyabinsk are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 19, 13 pts; Bars Kazan — No. 12, 17 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Tractor Chelyabinsk 2 wins, Bars Kazan 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan2.5–2.3
Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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Form

Tractor Chelyabinsk

  • 16.10away · Niznekamsk2:3 OT
  • 14.10away · Shanghai6:2
  • 10.10Novosibirsk1:2
  • 08.10Khabarovsk0:2
  • 06.10Khabarovsk1:2

Bars Kazan

  • 16.10away · Shanghai3:2 OT
  • 12.10Sochi2:3
  • 10.10Cherepovets1:4
  • 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
  • 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Bars Kazan — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
  • 09.09.2026Bars Kazan — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
  • 31.03.2026Bars Kazan — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1 OT
  • 29.03.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan2:3 OT
  • 27.03.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan3:2

Full record: 62 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1581624–22+217
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBars Kazan1681737–37017
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1681748–51-317
18Dynamo Moscow18621037–52-1514
19Tractor Chelyabinsk1561832–38-613
20Vladivostok1553736–44-813

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →