Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tractor Chelyabinsk are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 19, 13 pts; Bars Kazan — No. 12, 17 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Tractor Chelyabinsk 2 wins, Bars Kazan 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan | 2.5–2.3 | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tractor Chelyabinsk
- Tractor Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 16.10away · Niznekamsk2:3 OT
- 14.10away · Shanghai6:2
- 10.10Novosibirsk1:2
- 08.10Khabarovsk0:2
- 06.10Khabarovsk1:2
- 16.10away · Shanghai3:2 OT
- 12.10Sochi2:3
- 10.10Cherepovets1:4
- 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
- 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
Head to head
- 02.10.2026Bars Kazan — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
- 09.09.2026Bars Kazan — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 31.03.2026Bars Kazan — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1 OT
- 29.03.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan2:3 OT
- 27.03.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Bars Kazan3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 15 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 16 | 8 | 0 | 17 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 16 | 8 | -3 | 17 |
| 18 | Dynamo Moscow | 18 | 6 | -15 | 14 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 20 | Vladivostok | 15 | 5 | -8 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- KhabarovskSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- VladivostokBarys Astanapreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- Salavat UfaYekaterinburgpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- LadaLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.3
- Spartak MoscowDinamo Minskpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →