KHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Lada — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 29%.
Why
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.5.
Facts
- League table: Lada — No. 21, 8 pts; Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — No. 3, 22 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Lada 0 wins, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lada — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 1.5–2.7 | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 25% | |
| Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 75% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 29% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 71% |
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Form
- 15.10SKA St. Petersburg1:0
- 12.10away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
- 05.10Shanghai0:5
- 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
- 15.10away · Cherepovets2:5
- 10.10Dinamo Minsk6:1
- 05.10away · Bars Kazan2:0
- 03.10away · Dinamo Minsk3:4
- 30.09Novosibirsk3:1
Head to head
- 13.03.2026Lada — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:4
- 30.01.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada3:1
- 28.10.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada3:2
- 16.09.2025Lada — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
- 17.09.2024Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 15 | 12 | +23 | 24 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 15 | 11 | +12 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 16 | 10 | +7 | 22 |
| 20 | Vladivostok | 15 | 5 | -8 | 13 |
| 21 | Lada | 16 | 2 | -34 | 8 |
| 22 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- KhabarovskSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- VladivostokBarys Astanapreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- Salavat UfaYekaterinburgpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Tractor ChelyabinskBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Spartak MoscowDinamo Minskpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →