KHL · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Vladivostok — Barys Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vladivostok are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Vladivostok — No. 20, 13 pts; Barys Astana — No. 8, 18 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Vladivostok 3 wins, Barys Astana 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vladivostok — Barys Astana | 2.6–2.4 | |
| Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vladivostok
- Vladivostok goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 16.10Spartak Moscow1:5
- 10.10Lada4:3 OT
- 07.10away · Magnitogorsk0:3
- 05.10away · Magnitogorsk5:2
- 03.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:6 SO
- 14.10Yekaterinburg4:1
- 12.10Novosibirsk2:3
- 10.10Avangard Omsk5:1
- 04.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 02.10away · Niznekamsk5:4 OT
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Barys Astana — Vladivostok2:6
- 13.03.2026Vladivostok — Barys Astana6:2
- 12.03.2026Vladivostok — Barys Astana1:2
- 04.02.2026Vladivostok — Barys Astana1:4
- 28.01.2026Barys Astana — Vladivostok2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 16 | 9 | +10 | 20 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 15 | 9 | +17 | 18 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 14 | 8 | +2 | 18 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 20 | Vladivostok | 15 | 5 | -8 | 13 |
| 21 | Lada | 16 | 2 | -34 | 8 |
KHL on the same day
- KhabarovskSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- Salavat UfaYekaterinburgpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Tractor ChelyabinskBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- LadaLokomotiv Yaroslavlpreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.3
- Spartak MoscowDinamo Minskpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →