Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)
Kiekko-Espoo — Vaasan Sport
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kiekko-Espoo are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Kiekko-Espoo are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Kiekko-Espoo — No. 8, 31 pts; Vaasan Sport — No. 15, 19 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Kiekko-Espoo: 3 wins in a row; Vaasan Sport: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Kiekko-Espoo 4 wins, Vaasan Sport 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kiekko-Espoo — Vaasan Sport | 3.3–1.9 | |
| Kiekko-Espoo to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 74% | |
| Vaasan Sport to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 26% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kiekko-Espoo
- Kiekko-Espoo goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10away · Pelicans3:0
- 30.10away · Hameenlinna4:1
- 28.10TPS Turku5:4 OT
- 23.10IFK Helsinki0:3
- 21.10KooKoo4:2
Head to head
- 23.09.2026Vaasan Sport — Kiekko-Espoo0:1 OT
- 13.03.2026Kiekko-Espoo — Vaasan Sport7:0
- 28.02.2026Vaasan Sport — Kiekko-Espoo1:5
- 26.11.2025Vaasan Sport — Kiekko-Espoo2:3
- 09.10.2025Kiekko-Espoo — Vaasan Sport3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Karpat | 20 | 7 | +1 | 33 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kiekko-Espoo | 20 | 8 | +12 | 31 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | TPS Turku | 19 | 9 | +5 | 31 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Hameenlinna | 20 | 6 | -13 | 24 |
| 15, Relegation play-off | Vaasan Sport | 18 | 5 | -20 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Jokerit | 18 | 3 | -21 | 15 |
Liiga on the same day
- IFK HelsinkiJokeritpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- IlvesPelicanspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.2
- JukuritAssatpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- JYPKarpatpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- LukkoKalPapreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →