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Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Lumon Areena

KooKoo — Jukurit

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Model prediction and result

4:1Came true
KooKoo58%
Draw in regulation20%
Jukurit22%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, KooKoo to win (71% incl. overtime), came true.

KooKoo are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • KooKoo are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: KooKoo — Jukurit3.2–2.1
KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)71%
Jukurit to win (incl. OT and shootout)29%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap KooKoo
  • KooKoo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

KooKoo

  • 03.10Pelicans3:6
  • 30.09away · Tappara0:3
  • 26.09Jukurit3:5
  • 25.09away · Ilves0:6
  • 23.09KalPa4:5

Jukurit

  • 07.10Assat0:1
  • 03.10KalPa2:1 OT
  • 29.09away · Ilves2:3
  • 26.09away · KooKoo5:3
  • 25.09Kiekko-Espoo2:1 OT

Head to head

  • 26.09.2026KooKoo — Jukurit3:5
  • 14.03.2026Jukurit — KooKoo3:7
  • 13.03.2026KooKoo — Jukurit5:1
  • 11.10.2025KooKoo — Jukurit5:1
  • 20.09.2025Jukurit — KooKoo0:4

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsIlves12810336–24+1226
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJukurit14630536–29+724
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAssat12612330–27+322
16, Relegation play-offJokerit13212825–42-1710
17, RelegationKooKoo121011025–52-274

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • HameenlinnaKooKoo10 October · Liiga
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%Final score 5:3. Model's score: 2:4.5.1
  • JukuritKarpat10 October · Liiga
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 2:1 in overtime. Model's score: 3:2.5.0

Liiga on the same day

  • Kiekko-EspooJYP
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 6:1. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
  • AssatHameenlinna
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%Final score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 3:1.4.5
  • IlvesLukko
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 1:5. Model's score: 4:2.5.0
  • PelicansKarpat
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%Final score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
  • KalPaTappara
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →