DEL (German hockey league) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Krefeld Pinguine — Schwenninger

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Model prediction for 28 October

Krefeld Pinguine56%
Draw in regulation20%
Schwenninger24%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Krefeld Pinguine are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Krefeld Pinguine are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Krefeld Pinguine — Schwenninger3.2–2.2
Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Schwenninger to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Krefeld Pinguine

  • 11.10Augsburger Panther1:2
  • 08.10away · Frankfurt Lowen5:2
  • 04.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3
  • 02.10ERC Ingolstadt3:1
  • 27.09Schwenninger5:2

Schwenninger

  • 11.10Munchen3:4
  • 09.10away · Kolner4:1
  • 04.10Straubing Tigers2:4
  • 02.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers0:5
  • 27.09away · Krefeld Pinguine2:5

Head to head

  • 27.09.2026Krefeld Pinguine — Schwenninger5:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176
14, RelegationSchwenninger8110618–34-165

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →