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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Litvinov — Ceske Budejovice

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Model prediction for 13 November

Litvinov40%
Draw in regulation23%
Ceske Budejovice37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Litvinov 51%, Ceske Budejovice 49% including overtime.

4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Litvinov — No. 11, 21 pts; Ceske Budejovice — No. 5, 26 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Litvinov 2 wins, Ceske Budejovice 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Litvinov — Ceske Budejovice2.4–2.4
Litvinov to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Ceske Budejovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)61%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Litvinov
  • Litvinov goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Litvinov

  • 01.11away · Sparta Prague0:3
  • 30.10Vitkovice2:3
  • 27.10away · Pardubice3:2
  • 25.10Kometa Brno1:4
  • 23.10Plzen2:0

Ceske Budejovice

  • 01.11Karlovy Vary2:3
  • 30.10away · Olomouc0:4
  • 27.10Mountfield HK3:0
  • 25.10away · Mlada Boleslav2:3 SO
  • 23.10away · Trinec6:2

Head to head

  • 27.09.2026Ceske Budejovice — Litvinov5:4
  • 25.02.2026Ceske Budejovice — Litvinov4:2
  • 28.12.2025Litvinov — Ceske Budejovice4:1
  • 14.11.2025Ceske Budejovice — Litvinov2:3 OT
  • 28.09.2025Litvinov — Ceske Budejovice3:6

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarlovy Vary17820741–33+828
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice17802745–47-226
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague17712745–40+525
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov17611936–45-921
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • TrinecLiberecpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • Mlada BoleslavVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • Karlovy VarySparta Praguepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • Mountfield HKPlzenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • OlomoucKladnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • PardubiceKometa Brnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →