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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Mountfield HK — Plzen

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Model prediction for 13 November

Mountfield HK43%
Draw in regulation23%
Plzen34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Mountfield HK are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Mountfield HK — No. 9, 24 pts; Plzen — No. 7, 25 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Plzen: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Mountfield HK 4 wins, Plzen 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mountfield HK — Plzen2.3–2.1
Mountfield HK to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)32%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)68%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Mountfield HK
  • Mountfield HK goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Mountfield HK

  • 01.11away · Liberec3:4 OT
  • 27.10away · Ceske Budejovice0:3
  • 25.10Pardubice2:0
  • 23.10Karlovy Vary3:4 OT
  • 18.10away · Mlada Boleslav3:4

Plzen

  • 01.11Kladno6:5 SO
  • 30.10Trinec4:2
  • 27.10Olomouc3:2 OT
  • 25.10away · Liberec0:2
  • 23.10away · Litvinov0:2

Head to head

  • 27.09.2026Plzen — Mountfield HK2:1
  • 18.01.2026Plzen — Mountfield HK2:3 SO
  • 07.12.2025Mountfield HK — Plzen5:4
  • 24.10.2025Plzen — Mountfield HK2:3
  • 16.09.2025Mountfield HK — Plzen4:3 OT

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague17712745–40+525
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • TrinecLiberecpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • LitvinovCeske Budejovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • Mlada BoleslavVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • Karlovy VarySparta Praguepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • OlomoucKladnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • PardubiceKometa Brnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →