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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Mlada Boleslav — Vitkovice

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Model prediction for 13 November

Mlada Boleslav42%
Draw in regulation22%
Vitkovice35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Mlada Boleslav are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Mlada Boleslav — No. 12, 17 pts; Vitkovice — No. 13, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Mlada Boleslav 3 wins, Vitkovice 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mlada Boleslav — Vitkovice2.5–2.4
Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Mlada Boleslav
  • Mlada Boleslav goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Mlada Boleslav

  • 01.11away · Pardubice0:4
  • 30.10Sparta Prague1:4
  • 27.10away · Karlovy Vary2:1
  • 25.10Ceske Budejovice3:2 SO
  • 22.10away · Olomouc2:4

Vitkovice

  • 01.11Trinec1:3
  • 30.10away · Litvinov3:2
  • 25.10away · Kladno1:2
  • 23.10Kometa Brno3:2
  • 20.10Liberec3:2 SO

Head to head

  • 27.09.2026Vitkovice — Mlada Boleslav6:2
  • 23.01.2026Mlada Boleslav — Vitkovice2:1 OT
  • 19.12.2025Vitkovice — Mlada Boleslav1:2
  • 26.10.2025Mlada Boleslav — Vitkovice1:2
  • 19.09.2025Vitkovice — Mlada Boleslav2:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov17611936–45-921
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217
13Vitkovice16412938–52-1416
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc173121132–55-2313

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • TrinecLiberecpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • LitvinovCeske Budejovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • Karlovy VarySparta Praguepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • Mountfield HKPlzenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • OlomoucKladnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • PardubiceKometa Brnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →