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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Trinec — Liberec

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Model prediction for 13 November

Trinec48%
Draw in regulation22%
Liberec30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Trinec are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Trinec are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Trinec — No. 1, 42 pts; Liberec — No. 8, 24 pts. A gap of 18 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Trinec 3 wins, Liberec 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Trinec — Liberec2.8–2.3
Trinec to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Trinec
  • Trinec goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Trinec

  • 01.11away · Vitkovice3:1
  • 30.10away · Plzen2:4
  • 28.10away · Kometa Brno4:3 OT
  • 25.10Karlovy Vary2:1
  • 23.10Ceske Budejovice2:6

Liberec

  • 01.11Mountfield HK4:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Kladno2:4
  • 25.10Plzen2:0
  • 23.10Sparta Prague3:1
  • 20.10away · Vitkovice2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 27.09.2026Liberec — Trinec1:3
  • 16.01.2026Liberec — Trinec5:3
  • 05.12.2025Trinec — Liberec3:5
  • 19.10.2025Liberec — Trinec0:1
  • 14.09.2025Trinec — Liberec4:2

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsTrinec171311267–39+2842
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice171111464–43+2136
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • LitvinovCeske Budejovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • Mlada BoleslavVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • Karlovy VarySparta Praguepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • Mountfield HKPlzenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • OlomoucKladnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • PardubiceKometa Brnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →