Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 13 November, 20:00 (UTC+3)

Pardubice — Kometa Brno

Model prediction for 13 November

Pardubice55%

Draw in regulation20%

Kometa Brno25%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pardubice are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

League table: Pardubice — No. 2, 36 pts; Kometa Brno — No. 10, 24 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Pardubice 5 wins, Kometa Brno 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pardubice — Kometa Brno		3.1–2.1
Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout)		67%
Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout)		33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Pardubice
Pardubice goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Pardubice

01.11Mlada Boleslav4:0
30.10away · Karlovy Vary4:2
27.10Litvinov2:3
25.10away · Mountfield HK0:2
23.10away · Kladno3:4 OT

Kometa Brno

01.11Olomouc3:2
28.10Trinec3:4 OT
25.10away · Litvinov4:1
23.10away · Vitkovice2:3
20.10away · Karlovy Vary1:2 OT

Head to head

27.09.2026Kometa Brno — Pardubice3:5
23.03.2026Kometa Brno — Pardubice0:1
22.03.2026Kometa Brno — Pardubice2:4
19.03.2026Pardubice — Kometa Brno8:4
18.03.2026Pardubice — Kometa Brno5:1

Full record: 24 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Trinec	17	13	1	1	2	67–39	+28	42
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Pardubice	17	11	1	1	4	64–43	+21	36
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Kladno	17	7	3	3	4	53–49	+4	30
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Mountfield HK	16	6	2	2	6	43–42	+1	24
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Kometa Brno	16	5	3	3	5	43–43	0	24
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Litvinov	17	6	1	1	9	36–45	-9	21

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

19:00
TrinecLiberecpreliminary
6040
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
19:30
LitvinovCeske Budejovicepreliminary
5149
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
19:30
Mlada BoleslavVitkovicepreliminary
5446
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
20:00
Karlovy VarySparta Praguepreliminary
5149
1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
20:00
Mountfield HKPlzenpreliminary
5545
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
20:00
OlomoucKladnopreliminary
4357
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →