Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Tappara — Hameenlinna
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tappara are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Tappara are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tappara — Hameenlinna | 3.0–1.9 | |
| Tappara to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 72% | |
| Hameenlinna to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 28% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tappara
- Tappara goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 07.04.2026Tappara — Hameenlinna1:0
- 04.04.2026Hameenlinna — Tappara3:4 OT
- 02.04.2026Tappara — Hameenlinna3:1
- 30.03.2026Hameenlinna — Tappara2:1
- 28.03.2026Tappara — Hameenlinna2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lukko | 11 | 6 | +6 | 20 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Tappara | 11 | 5 | +8 | 19 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | -7 | 18 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | TPS Turku | 11 | 5 | +4 | 16 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →